Monday, June 30, 2014

bank guarantee, banking inquiry, cabinet meetings, ciarán lynch, fianna fáil

Banking Inquiry 2014

It has been a bruising couple of weeks for the embryo banking inquiry. First the Government put the ball in its own net with its shambolic handling of the nominations from the Seanad. Then Fianna Fáil raised fresh doubts about its efficacy, after the party said the committee setting up the inquiry had received legal advice putting cabinet deliberations out of bounds.


That all played to the Fianna Fáil narrative which holds that no-one is keener to see a robust banking investigation than Micheál Martin but that the Government is going about it the wrong way. Cue headlines claiming the inquiry would be hamstrung, and could not now get to the bottom of things.

The reality, though, may be a little different.

I am told that cabinet meetings are indeed subject to constitutional confidentiality, but that the advice was surprisingly positive in related matters. For instance, it seems committee members were told that memos to cabinet from government departments are compellable, as are detailed decisions made by ministers. More interestingly, it seems that any briefings to cabinet by consultants or officials, or bankers for that matter, are too, as the constitutional definition of a cabinet meeting is quite a narrow one.

It seems the view is that only ministers can participate if a meeting is to be given cabinet status. The interpretation taken from that advice led one committee member to observe that “if there’s a waiter in the room then it ain’t a cabinet meeting”.

So, it may be that the more ministerial meetings there were, the more documents there will be for the inquiry to examine, and if there is not a paper trail, more witnesses to examine. Committee members on all sides agree that they will be able, for instance, to quiz the senior bankers and all involved in those early morning meetings ahead of the guarantee.
So what time span will it focus on?

Fianna Fáil wants a remit that stretches well beyond the bank guarantee and includes actions taken by the present Government. Others want the investigation to examine matters stretching back, as one member put, to the day the Chinese invented banknotes. Speaking to those involved, the sense is that the time available will limit the time examined.

Oral hearings begin in January 2015 with a November deadline. That is pretty constrained, and may mean that the inquiry will be defined by when the banking crisis began and, more problematically, by when it could be said to have subsided. That is a difficult call given that you and I are still feeling its effects.

And finally will it be a bonanza for the Law Library? Well, there will be work for lawyers, but I am told those who reach for their learned friends will not get their costs that easily.

The argument here is that if the inquiry cannot make adverse findings against you, why would you lawyer up in the first place?

The first hurdle for committee chair Ciarán Lynch, though, is to sort out the tricky issue of the time span and the issues to be scrutinised. However, with Fianna Fáil digging its heels in and already crying foul, that might not be so simple.

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